Dutch Disease

The following diagram is a simplified depiction of what is known as the ‘’Dutch Disease’’ or the curse of plenty. In short, it is the situation faced by a number of economies who were suddenly able to export large amounts of a natural resource they possess, and the effects of such a policy is reflected by the diagram. Loosely based on the Australian experience, this diagram attempts to portray the effects of such a ‘’disease’’ on the rest of the economy and what happens to the people and their currency after the ‘’delay’’.

2 possible scenarios I thought about that I can represent as a complex system:

1)The human body. But I wanted to display a scenario where the body, as a system, fails due to hypothermia.
I will have a step by step sequence of how the individual body parts, skin, etc are affected by this situation, and how, unless the person leaves the hostile environment, will start experiencing organ failure, step by step.
 soft points: the persons endurance in the cold
 hard points: the outside temperature, body temperature.

2) Coalition forces have been in Iraq since 2003. US combat troops withdrew this year, and Iraqis handle their own affairs.
 Many internal and external forces will make or break the new Iraqi democracy... examples are Iraq's neighbors and their influence, most importantly Iran. Other examples can be internal, such as whether the Sunni minority will accept a Shia majority government, and other variables. These factors can be represented as probabilities, once all put in a system can give as the chances of Iraq becoming a successful sovereign nation, or descend into more civil war.
Hard points: success of next election, nature of US- Iran relations
Soft points: whether the insurgency will go after US withdraws